Saturday, June 29, 2019

Debate Update: Klobuchar *Biden* Her Time

#232: Slow Pace Wins The Race?

We're used to politicians charging full-tilt towards victory.  This is probably because 'politicians' has almost always meant men.  But what if a woman's slow, steady progress makes more sense?




















[Turtles have been seeking out new territory,
what with all the rain we've had recently.]

I continue my focus on a dark-horse Democratic candidate, Minnesota Senator Amy Klobuchar, who I've argued is the party's best bet (mainly because of how Senate races are configured).  In this edition I confine myself to just two points:

1. Somebody Should Probably Say Something.  Many voters are shopping for a candidate.  But buying what you want, short term, could be what you don't want, long term.

2. Klobuchar Waits.  She needn't fight hard right now; instead, ...make a few wisecracks.

1. Seeing candidates raise their hand when asked whether they'd eliminate all private health insurance, or provide health coverage to undocumented migrants, is sobering.  If you list 2020 Senate races from most likely for Blue, to least, you have something like: Colorado, Arizona, North Carolina, Maine, Iowa, Texas, Georgia, Kentucky, Montana, Alabama, Kansas, Tennessee, Alaska, Nebraska.   To get to 50 seats, Blue would have to win the first three, plus one to cancel out a likely loss in Alabama, and one or two to cancel out any 'miss' in those top four.  Plus, 52 senate seats are probably needed to avoid conservative Democrats holding up progress on specific issues (climate change, for example).  So, we're talking about winning 2-out-of-3 in Georgia, Kentucky, and Montana.  Voters in those states are, on average, quite conservative.  If Democratic voters really want the promised land of possible legislation (tackling income inequality, voting rights, climate change, healthcare, etc.) they should probably reject candidates who say radical things that'll come back to haunt them as negative ads ("Don't let the radical socialists take away your health care and give it to illegals.")

2.  I have yet to watch the 4 hours of debate, but have heard that Klobuchar had a few funny lines.  This is what she needed as she waits for her moment.  With Biden in the race, her numbers won't be very high, no matter what, since his rationale for running is similar to her's: consolidate the party's center, and keep anything radical under wraps.  Once he begins to fall in the polls, even a minor bounce on her part will seem like a big deal.  So, for June, less is more.

Tuesday, June 25, 2019

I 'Advise' A Dark-Horse Candidate For President

#231: What It Takes To Win 2020
..................

Step #1: I pick the likeliest candidate.

Step #2: I rationalize that candidate's major campaign moves, to date.

Step #3: I list three messages to get across in order to 'win' this week's debate.

The Likeliest Candidate
All eyes will be on the second debate, when Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders and Kamala Harris battle it out [...screech...].  Except no, those are the also-rans, the past-their-bedtime heroes of yesteryear, and the up-and-coming new faces at their first rodeo.

Actually, the first debate, featuring Senators Elizabeth Warren, Cory Booker, and Amy Klobuchar is where the more serious candidates will compete.  And among these three, Klobuchar provides Democrats with their most likely vehicle, with Warren a close second.  Why?

The choice is obvious, once one looks closely, because only Klobuchar has likely coattails in rural, more Republican parts of the country, while Warren and Booker come across as more urban and liberal.  In the Democratic primary, this broader approach is not an asset, but in a general election, this is the key to success.  Why?  Because of the need for a comfortable margin in the Senate, where, as fate would have it, states like Alaska, Arizona, Colorado, Montana, Nebraska, Iowa, Maine, North Carolina, Georgia, Alabama, Tennessee, Texas, Kansas, and Kentucky are where the action is.   A Warren or Booker blow-out in the presidential election that leaves most of the above states with Republican senators is only asking for gridlock.  Whereas, a few more senate seats is the difference between getting little done and a working majority (probably, this would be 52+ senators, allowing for a defection or two, now and then).

And the surprise is that Klobuchar only seems to be a more conservative candidate.  If one examines the 137 actions she'd take in her first 100 days, they match up nicely with Warren's more detailed, and somewhat more aggressive 'I've got a plan for that' approach.

I Rationalize Klobucar's Campaign, To Date
Her campaign kickoff: outdoors with snow in hair.
Makes her look tough, able to tackle anything.
Her big issue: infrastructure.
Makes her seem aggressive (large price tag), but appealing to everyday, quality-of-life concerns.
Her early struggles (accused of mistreating staff).
Kept expectations low, enabled 'underdog' breakout scenario.  And, charges are disputed, and relatively minor, allowing for redemption.
A grab-bag of 137 actions to take in first 100 days.
Criticized as unfocused, they reassure party activists without providing opponents with specifics to grip and gripe.

I List Three Messages To Win Debate
"Remove the Senate Filibuster for science-backed legislation."  ***
"Because of dealing with my father's alcoholism, I'm uniquely qualified to tangle with Trump.
"If we want to win in places like Wisconsin and Iowa, we have to speak 'farm country'.  I do."

.............................

*** Set up panels of mainstream scientific experts to weigh in on legislation that addresses science.  For example, the climate fight.  Allows science-based legislation with no filibuster possible.  A majority vote is all that's needed to set up said panels.

Sunday, June 23, 2019

Discussion: Social Media Habits

#230: My System
.......................

I'm moderately active on social media, mainly Twitter, and am quite satisfied with my experience.  Over the years I've developed a system that allows for give-and-take, but without any of the mania that can accompany 24/7 connection.  How does my approach work?  We'll use an expert's 6-point advice column to get started, and I'll include a percentage to indicate how I feel about each item (just like in my last post on sleep habits):

1. Limit When and Where You Use Social Media   70%
Sure, limitations are necessary, but our expert includes keeping your computer/phone out of your bedroom.  My method is so much less demanding.  I simply use my phone for texting and calling, only, with the sound off; this means I choose when to check it.  Then, I do all my social media on my desktop computer; this means I'm not online except for when I have time and am in the mood.  And of course I have everything in my bedroom--and, no, my sleep is normal.

2. Have 'Detox' Periods  50%
Again, limitations are a good thing, but I find I only occasionally regret not answering a call or text right away.  So, I only ever engage if I'm feeling like it, and therefore don't need to think of taking time off from it.

3. Pay Attention to What You Do and How You Feel   90%
Right, experimenting with different times of day, states of mind, and kinds of friends online is vital.  But to only interact with people you know offline (one of our expert's prescriptions) seems wrong.  Having friends I've never met, or usually don't see, is a wonderful thing.

4. Approach Social Media Mindfully; Ask 'Why?'  80%
True, I want to be mindful, and asking myself why I feel like reaching out is good.  But, oftentimes, I'm moved by what I write or read, and end up in a completely different frame-of-mind, so there's also the question of "Why not?"

5. Prune  95%
Good one.  There's always something to sign up for, or someone to connect with.  It's probably a good idea to give oneself too little to handle, rather than too much.  The author suggests you might want to sign up for motivational or 'funny' sites.  Maybe for most people; I just don't have the time, plus my sense of humor is too demanding.

6. Stop Social Media from Replacing Real Life  30%
Ummm, ok, for most people; but I find I usually prefer to interact with people I don't see day-to-day.

Friday, June 21, 2019

Discussion: Sleep Habits

#229: My System
........................

About two years ago I started getting up at the same time every morning.  This was work-related to begin with, since sleeping in on the weekend, I had realized, turned Mondays into decidedly 'down' days, due to not being tired enough to sleep well on Sunday nights.  I've experimented with different times for getting up, and have been willing to break my own rules if I have to, on my way to a 'system'.  Here's a run-down, using an article on science-based sleep advice.  I react to each of the five rules and assign a percentage (how important the rule is to me):

1. Only go to bed when you're really sleepy.   80%
The problem with this rule is that you don't know for sure how things will go once you lay down.  And if you wait for that "really sleepy" feeling, you may well've burned through half your night.  So, I'd say be flexible; and if you can, experiment.

2. Get up if you can't sleep.   35%
This is what the science says, but if you ask me, I'd say there are just as many times when I can fall back to sleep after the prescribed 15 minutes, than not.  So, I generally do not get up.  My dreaming is most easily remembered when just barely asleep, then awake, then drifting off again, so there's a benefit to only getting up when there's something bothering me that I can't help thinking about.  And by the way, how does one know 15 minutes has passed if part of the scientific advice is to not check the time?

3. Stay up for a predetermined length of time.  95%
While I don't usually get up to avoid sleeplessness, when I do, I usually set a time limit; otherwise, it's too easy not to even go back to bed.

4. Wake up at the same time every morning.  95%
I have 'slept in' in the past year, but only once or twice.  And, more importantly, once I decide I'm getting up, I don't let myself focus on how tired I feel.  Instead, I tell myself I want what I've decided I want, and so, spring out of bed.

5. Don't nap.  90%
I want to say 100%, but I've nodded off reading (I assume that counts as a nap).

There's more, like resolving problems during the day so I don't have to anticipate them at night.  And there's how much to sleep.  Evidently, 7-8 hours is the scientific consensus.

Thursday, June 20, 2019

A Winning Line For Each Debate Candidate

#228: I Hand Out Free Advice
.................

The first Democratic debate of the 2020 election season will see two nights (6/26, 6/27) of ten candidates each (NBC/MSNBC).

Here are the top 13 candidates, along with a message for each that to my mind best suits their future in politics (for some, this involves dropping out).  I'll begin with the least likely to do well--again, as I see it, and end with the most likely.  [Not Mentioned are Tulsi Gabbard, Bill DeBlasio, John Delaney, Eric Swalwell, Kirsten Gillibrand, Tim Ryan, and Michael Bennet, who should realize the end is near and drop out sooner-rather-than-later to avoid further embarrassment].

#13: Joe Biden.  "I'm a team player, and on our team George Washington laid down the rules: once you've served your country, it's time to retire.  In the weeks to come I'll be organizing Team Blue (link), where all our major candidates will be offered a role in the next administration, including yours truly (Defense Secretary).  Our Republican opponent might be able to beat one of us, but together, we offer what America wants: trusted, experienced leadership."  (walks off stage)

#12: Bernie Sanders.  "I humbly submit that I've learned three things in this, my second run for president:  1. I've become a team player and will be permanently joining the Democratic Party.  2. Elizabeth Warren is a much more likely vessel for our hopes and dreams than I am; so, I'll be ending my campaign, returning with renewed vigor to the Senate, and will support Senator Warren's campaign if and when I'm needed.  and 3.  The body ages, whether we like it or not; I don't like it, but that's life.  I bid you all farewell; it has been a true pleasure." (walks off stage)

#11: John Hickenlooper.  "I'm a team player. ...In fact, I've already been contacted by Vice President Biden about joining Team Blue.  We'll be discussing my future role, perhaps as a combined Small Business Administration / Commerce secretary, with an emphasis on incubators, funding streams, and promising start-ups.  In fact, I'm so sure I want to do this that I'm ending my run for the presidency." (walks off stage)

#10: Jay Inslee. "Even though I, too, have been offered a cabinet position on Team Blue (EPA administrator), and even though I understand the potential danger in publicly discussing our team's strategy ahead of 'the game', I feel I still have a role to play raising Climate Change as an issue, and will continue to make every effort to win our party's nomination."

#9: Marianne Williamson.  "It's jarring to realize just how long we've lived with war--ever since 2001; 18 years!  I'm sure there's a way to return to peace, and I'll help find it."

#8: Andrew Yang.  "My first instinct was to propose a Universal Basic Income that would apply to everyone; unfortunately, the cost would be prohibitive.  I realize now that a targeted UBI, focused on providing equal opportunity to all is the more likely approach.  If everyone has hope--and access to money, our economy can meet its potential. "

#7: Cory Booker:  "I was joking backstage with a custodian.  I told him we were all forming Team Blue, and we needed a card-carrying union guy for Secretary of Labor.  Ok, so he wasn't interested, and I'm not sure I'm cut out to be a Housing and Urban Development secretary (which I've been offered), but I just love the Team Blue idea.  Now that Joe and Bernie have graciously stepped aside, we're all one team, and I for one pledge not to 'go negative' on any fellow candidates.  Ladies and gentlemen, we can do this."

#6: Julian Castro: "I'd like to second 'brother Booker'.  We'll be respectful, we'll be willing to listen, we'll be open to new ideas and new faces.  We'll show the American people what my buddy Joe Biden mentioned: "trusted, experienced leadership".  So, whether it's win the 'whole enchilada', or just help shape our party's direction (I've been asked to head Homeland Security), we'll bring our supporters with us all the way to the voting booth and beyond."

#5: Beto: "I'm so honored to be on this stage tonight, along with my Team Blue teammates.  Surely the seismic change we're seeing unfold here, the dedication to America's interests, rather than our own need to win, will stand out in the minds of future historians as a natural echo of George Washington's standing down after two terms.  And whether I become president, or whether I serve as Energy or Education secretary on Team Blue (positions I've been offered), I will be a proud man, indeed."

#4: Elizabeth Warren: "'I had a plan' for this introductory speech [laughter], until my good friend Bernie announced his surprise exit from the race.  So now, I'd like to thank not only my supporters, who've made my dreams come true, and Vice President Biden, for offering me the Treasury secretary position (in conjunction with my senatorial duties), but my dear colleague Bernie, for his selfless dedication to what this country could be if we simply care enough to vote that dream into reality."

#3: Kamala Harris: "If 'brother Julian' doesn't mind, I'd like to borrow his brotherhood/sisterhood term to emphasize that we're all one family here on this stage.  And whether I serve as the next president (our first female, and first Asian-American president, mind you), or whether I accept the Justice Department position 'brother Biden' has offered--or is it Uncle Joe? [laughter], I'll keep things 'in the family'."

#2: Amy Klobuchar: "Someone on this stage will be president in 2021.  To get there our nominee will have to get past the current occupant.  I look forward to that task, because I've been there before.  As many of you know, my father was an alcoholic who I was forced to confront on a daily basis.  I'm actually good at that sort of thing.  But whether I'm the next Democratic president, or join Team Blue as Drug Czar or Secretary of Agriculture, I know full well how to fight like the future depends on me doing so."

#1: Mayor Pete: "There isn't any better way to put this, except to say that being part of a welcoming family here on this stage is what each viewer at home can expect to experience with Team Blue.  We're dedicated to each other--as brothers and sisters--and will include each of you watching tonight in our prayers, as we work together as a family.  And whether I'm your new president, or whether I accept Vice President Biden's offer to be UN Ambassador, I'll be praying for our nation."

Note: since our 13 candidates won't be on the same stage together, we'll assume that this all happens at the second debate in late July.

Monday, June 17, 2019

I Review: Three Ways Dems Could Lose in 2020

#227: Spoiler: All Three Are Wrongheaded
...................
Let's take a look at three common doom-and-gloom scenarios for Blue in 2020, and see which candidates are targeted by each:

1. The Firebrand.
In a piece for The Atlantic, Ron Brownstein identifies several issues, including Medicare For All, and Free College, that recent polling has shown to be relatively unpopular with parts of the coalition Democrats attracted in 2018.

2. The Swing-Vote Seeker.
In The New Republic, John Long suggests that 'swing voters' are the wrong focus.  Instead, Democrats should be inspiring and expanding their base--the 4 million voters who chose Obama in 2012, but who stayed home in 2016.

3. The Hopeless Optimist.
In Salon, Uwe Bolt points to the near-certainty of legislative failure, even if Blue takes the Senate, as Republicans will simply refuse to cooperate.  This pessimism could conceivably deflate the campaigns of populist candidates with ambitious plans.

Do we even need to pair up candidates with the above?  We do?  Then here they are:

The Firebrand is surely a poke at Bernie Sanders.

The Swing-Vote Seeker questions the candidacy of Joe Biden, and to a lesser extent Mayor Pete.

The Hopeless Optimist picks on Elizabeth Warren.

The problems we encounter in these articles:

1. The Firebrand critique picks out the obvious, contentious policies that have lost traction as the campaign season has unfolded; aggressive Medicare-For-All and Free College are yesterday's news.  The big bold plans with buzz now-a-days are well-reasoned, and either aren't too overly ambitious, or have 'pay-for's in place.  So, it's a public option as a first step toward a better Health Care.  And free 2-year community college--like the public option, much more focused on what could make it through congress.

2. The Swing-Vote Seeker criticism ignores where most votes are needed.  As I've argued before, whether you like it or not, a Blue presidential victory depends on speaking to midwestern voters in states like Iowa/Wisconsin; and in the Senate, attracting middle-of-the-road voters in places like Arizona, Colorado, and North Carolina.  These are all purple states, at best.  And while the Presidency will be hard for Red to retain, given how inelastic the incumbent's poll numbers have been, the battle for the Senate will involve many Red states, especially if Democrats hope to have more than a 50-seat minimum.

3. The Hopeless scenario is simply alarmist.  Given enough seats in the Senate, Democrats will be able to do without their most conservative members when setting up the Science-Based Expertise idea that would allow a case-by-case rollback of the filibuster, thus depriving obstructionists of their weapon of choice.  But, this assumes a presidential candidate with coattails in Red and Purple states.

This is why the Democrat best positioned to win in 2020 is a swing-state vote seeker with well-reasoned, moderately ambitious ideas, with 'pay-for's in place, who is comfortable talking about Mid-West (and rural, more generally) concerns.

Sunday, June 16, 2019

Offbeat Photos

#226: The Wayback Machine

Ten photos:


A beast in the wood leaves its mark.




















Stonehenge as seen 108 years ago (note supports @ left).



Grandfather's friend @ Appleton & Eynsham fork in road.

Blue mood.



Alternative view to screen image on phone


The New Yorker wins it.











I wait every year for this in late June.



















In 2014 we bought cookies that served as Scrabble pieces.


Color.

Edge.





























Monday, June 3, 2019

I Review: Criticism Of The Green New Deal

#225: "All You Need Is Love"
..................
The first thing one notices about The Green New Deal is its inclusive outreach: it references the 1930's New Deal, which provides a familiar hook; it's vague, which avoids dissension, and it fronts a woman of color, along with a soft spoken gentleman, as chief sponsors, emphasizing its everybody's-in-this approach.

Then come the detractors, either laughably denying the science, or demanding an even more ambitious assault on airborne carbon.  Science denial is of course obvious nonsense, fed by greedy corporate interests that pay dishonorable 'scientists' to twist the truth.  They will flail and fail.  The cries of full-throated alarmists, however, are much more significant, because they're often right about the science.

My sense is that alarmists are both useful, in drawing attention to Climate, but also dangerous, in that their rowdier half will provide obvious targets for fear-mongers and the low-information voters easily swayed by sensational claims.  This has already happened, unfortunately, as during the roll-out of the Green New Deal, a chief sponsor's staffers accidentally posted unscreened information suggesting that using airplanes and eating hamburgers were problematic activities.

So, let's look into the alarmist's view, in this case Samuel Miller McDonald at the New Republic, "The Green New Deal Can't Be Anything Like The New Deal".  He asserts the following (my reaction in green):

1. "The climate crisis is much bigger than the Great Depression, for the very fate of humanity is at stake."
As I've noted, banging the drum for repentance is helpful to a point.  The problem is that persuasion usually requires warmth, outreach, and good humor (the traditional hallmarks of female strength, it might be noted).

2. "Worse, the crisis is being accelerated by the very thing that the New Deal helped save: fossil fuel capitalism."
Making this about capitalism is a sure loser.  The appetite for a critique of capitalism is limited to Deep Blue areas of the country; this is not where more votes for a Senate majority, and for a GND, are needed.

3. "Thus, rather than emulating its predecessor, the Green New Deal must undo many of [the New Deal's] accomplishments."
This wild-eyed radicalism is usually the sign of leftie candidates, like Bernie, who're focused more on a desired end (single-payer healthcare, for example), than on the immediate need for persuasion (the much less disruptive medicare buy-in, for instance).

4. "FDR’s [New Deal] programs not only made industrial capitalism financially and socially stable; they sent it into overdrive by leaving monopolistic corporations intact, building the foundation of the interstate highway system, expanding car-dependent suburban housing, incentivizing consumption, expanding air travel, accelerating mechanized extraction, and ramping up resource-intensive manufacturing."
Again, this is poison if you're seeking to win an election.  The much more persuasive approach is to avoid mentioning anything in that sentence, and instead speak to the benefits of a progressive next step, which then leads to another progressive step, with the desired end only hinted at.

5. "The resources necessary to maintain our current rate of production simply don’t exist on the planet."
If true, this sobering jeremiad would be warranted.  But it assumes we aren't already transitioning.
* "There isn’t enough topsoil to sustain agricultural production; at its current rate, topsoil will be depleted in a few decades and lead to mass starvation."  True, at its current rate, but topsoil loss has been declining in the US, and given the resources there's no reason we can't accelerate that trend, and do so dramatically, and worldwide.
* There’s not enough cobalt, lithium, and other resources necessary to electrify transportation at its current scope; demand is already outstripping supply of such minerals and electric vehicles currently account for less than 2 percent of the market.  If there weren't alternatives available, or on the horizon, car manufacturers wouldn't be committing to electric vehicles (several companies have pledged to permanently transition to manufacturing only electric).
* There aren’t enough fish to keep trawling the oceans at our current intensity, with virtually every single commercial fishery in the world headed toward collapse.  True, there's no excuse for over-fishing, and many fisheries have already crashed.  But there are others where enforcement of catch limits has worked; and there are no fundamental barriers to these successes being replicated.
* There’s not enough wild habitat to keep deforesting at the current rate, with sixty football fields of forest being destroyed every minute and dozens of species going extinct everyday."  So true.  And there's been backsliding on a heartbreaking scale.  But given sufficient economic resources, these trends can be reversed.

6. "What a Green New Deal must do is begin to establish the political and cultural conditions in which this scale of transition becomes possible, and do so within the timeframe of about two Senate elections. It’s not entirely clear what that would look like...."
McDonald's attempt to help usher in sustainability may over-shoot its mark, but there is a case to be made for a jolt of reality on occasion.  For example, the carefully constructive, but unwavering David Roberts recently noted that 'middle-path' efforts to transition our energy economy using natural gas aren't going to be possible if we're aiming below that famous 1.5%^  average temperature target.  On the other hand, the phrase "...begin to establish the political and cultural conditions..." does remind one of a certain, typically male, palms-up helplessness, especially when coupled with "It's not entirely clear what that would look like...."  
Again, though, let's admit we need an earthquake of sense now and again, and move on.

About that "...two Senate elections..." timeframe:
   * Almost all close Senate elections in 2020 will involve states that traditionally vote Republican, or in a few cases, are closely contested.  This is where the GND begins, convincing voters that retrofitting buildings, providing solar and wind subsidies, planting trees, encouraging no-till agriculture, and cutting back on government waste (sh! mostly at the pentagon sh!) is the way to prosperity.  That's the GND translated into Red state language.
   * Come 2021, assuming a Democratic House, Senate and President, the GND becomes a massive investment in renewables, a reconfigured energy grid, and an end to all fossil fuel subsidies.  And that's just Energy.  How does this pass the Senate?  The one-off Reconciliation process would likely be saved for returning the tax structure to 2016, plus a significant boost in higher rates.  The GND itself is passed after the Senate votes to 1) impanel top scientists in numerous fields, and 2) consult those panels before key votes, as well as 3) lower the threshold to 50 votes for passing science-related bills backed by relevant panels.
There's also statehood for Washington D.C., Puerto Rico and perhaps other US territories, balancing the current Republican advantage in the Senate.
   * For the 2022 elections, the GND is taken a notch higher.
This is the progressive way.  What's hard to understand is that it starts with a crash course in speaking Red State.  The initial hurdle to get to at least 50 Senate votes (and preferably many more) in 2020 is counter-intuitively dependent on temporarily toning down the GND's scope.  But that's the reality of our present condition.


Sunday, June 2, 2019

I Review "Stand Out Of Our Light"

#224: The winner Of The 2016 Nine Dots Prize
....................
In 2016 I spent the better part of several months writing an essay in response to the question: ‘Are digital technologies making politics impossible?’  This was the topic posed by the inaugural Nine Dots Prize, which elicited 700-odd entries from around the world.  The winner was promised cash and a book deal with Cambridge University Press.

When the winner was announced, I was of course not so honored.  But since, for a limited time, the winner's book (a long essay, really) can be downloaded for free, as a PDF (link), and since I invested so much in my initial entry, I decided to download, read and assess it, relative to my own writing.

Saturday morning I read to page 13, then reflected on the author’s thesis: that our own, personal goals are not the same as those who try to attract our attention online; and that this conflict is the central problem of our internet age.  Well, I immediately realized that though I'd enjoyed my reading (the story behind Diogenes meeting Alexander the Great is the origin of the book’s title “Stand Out Of Our Light"), my goal was to grasp the gist of the book, rather than be sucked into an all-day affair.  So, I skipped the next 85 pages, and read the final few dozen.

My reaction can be summed up succinctly with this question:  How are online attention seekers any different than market stall vendors of yore calling out “Sahib, see the special price I have on this jewel!”  If there's little difference, then why aren't we applying a simple education-is-the-answer to the problem?  After all, once we’ve bought a few “special price” items, we’ll likely realize we’ve been had, be wary of future hucksters, and change our ways as buyers; or, even better, we’ll be warned to be skeptical of any “special price” claim.

To be fair, the winning author, James Williams, casts a wider net, writing:  “The technology industry [i]sn’t designing products, it's designing users.”  In other words, our digital world's ad-based design is purposefully more addictive and exploitative than is an ancient marketplace.  But that doesn’t change the remedy: education/experience.

Williams proposes trying to get the attention-seekers to behave.  For example, he describes a code-of-conduct that designers would pledge to follow vis-a-vis their eventual customers:

As someone who shapes the lives of others, I promise to:
Care genuinely about their success;
Understand their intentions, goals, and values as completely as possible;
Align my projects and actions with their intentions, goals, and values;
Respect their dignity, attention, and freedom, and never use their own weaknesses against them;
Measure the full effect of my projects on their lives, and not just those effects that are important to me;
Communicate clearly, honestly, and frequently my intentions and methods; and
Promote their ability to direct their own lives by encouraging reflection on their own values, goals, and intentions.

I have nothing against such an oath.  It's akin to the nation-state determining what's permissible advertising—something that political progressives like myself have always championed.

But the author has already zeroed in on what’s needed: “Our mission, then, is… to reengineer our world so that we can give attention to what matters.” And, his proposal isn’t re-engineering so much as incremental improvement.  He writes:

“[T]he broad outline of our goal [is] to bring the[se] technologies...onto our side. This means aligning their goals and values with our own.  
I don’t claim to have all, or even a representative set, of the answers here. Nor is it clear to me whether an accumulation of incremental improvements will be sufficient to change the system; it may be that some more fundamental reboot of it is necessary."

Unfortunately, things like an oath to 'do good' isn't that far removed from the familiar con that industrial polluters can be trusted to voluntarily clean up their act.  It also reminds one of the good intentions behind attempts to help the less fortunate, when what's needed is a fundamental realignment of income distribution that throttles back the excesses of the 1%, and allows the vast majority to return to the upward mobility of yesteryear.

Not that our author doesn’t write well.  His essay sparkles with a story-teller's charm; with anecdotes, historical references, and quotes from our civilization's greatest.

My essay, by way of contrast, is an attempt at a more fundamental “reengineer[ing]" of our world:  I describe a harnessing of our collective mind, using the internet, that would educate the less informed, marginal voter while enabling direct democracy.  So, instead of asking, and expecting, content designers, advertisers, and the like to respect us--all sensible measures, to be sure--the focus is instead on us, adjusting our level of sophistication in resisting the unworthy claim, and seeing through the malicious appeal.  And this will only happen by giving people agency (experience) and exposing them to differing viewpoints (education).  Thus, an approximate direct democracy, using the internet.

How would this work?
1. Constituents would express opinions to their representatives.
2. Representatives would hire pollsters.
3. Pollsters would generate demographically balanced opinions.
4. Representatives could abide by their constituent opinions, or, possibly, be voted out.
5. Each Rep. would have a website with specific issue, explanatory videos.
6. Each video would end with questions (and a comment/dissent option) to generate opinions.

There's much more to the idea, here.

And Approximate Democracy was just one idea.  My book proposal offered nine others, each an “outside-the-box method of approaching and addressing the big issues of the day” (the contest's stated goal) using our nascent internet.

That the judges chose a modern overview of an old problem (the gullible rube), with incremental options for action, is understandable.  Submissions were anonymous.  Without a panel of experts to deliberate in depth, truly radical outside-the-box thinking was likely too hard to evaluate, and therefore too risky (What if someone’s exciting, new idea was announced as the winner, only to be revealed by experts in the relevant sub-specialty to be an impossible exercise in wishful thinking?)   Instead, default mode, I imagine, was to look for hints of a classically trained mind: not only grammar, punctuation, word length, and spelling, but quotes and references that reassured.  Williams' book begins, for example, with a quote from Aristotle’s Politics.

Description is always safer than prescription; one is a matter of hinting at a possible truth, the other is narrowing down choices and announcing a true north.  In hindsight, those behind the Nine Dots Prize (see youtube video) would likely admit that looking for a new answer to an old problem, without bringing wide-ranging expertise to bear, is, well, wishful thinking.